₹10,000 a month for 30 years: NPS could outgrow EPF, but with a catch

A monthly ₹10,000 investment could grow to about ₹1.57 crore in EPF or ₹2.26 crore in NPS over 30 years, but the higher projected NPS corpus comes with market risk and mandatory annuity rules.

For salaried workers trying to build a retirement nest egg, the choice often comes down to two familiar routes: the Employees’ Provident Fund and the National Pension System. TV9 Hindi says the contrast becomes clearer when the example is a monthly saving of ₹10,000 over 30 years, a period long enough for compounding to do most of the heavy lifting. On that basis, the question is not simply how much gets invested, but how the rules, returns and tax treatment shape the final corpus.

In the EPF case, the appeal lies in certainty. The scheme is backed by a government-declared interest rate, and TV9 Hindi notes that the rate for 2025-26 has been set at 8.25 per cent. If that return were to hold steady for three decades, the article calculates that a monthly contribution of ₹10,000 would grow to about ₹1.57 crore, turning ₹36 lakh of savings into a fund with more than ₹1.21 crore in interest. The key advantage is predictability: the balance is not exposed to day-to-day market volatility, although the rate is reviewed each year and can change.

NPS works differently. According to the TV9 Hindi calculation, the pension system does not promise a fixed return because the money is invested across equities, corporate debt and government securities. Under its active choice option, investors can allocate as much as 75 per cent to shares, which increases both risk and the potential for stronger long-term growth. Using an assumed annual return of 10 per cent, the article estimates that the same ₹10,000 monthly contribution could reach roughly ₹2.26 crore after 30 years. Even at 9 per cent, the projected corpus would still be around ₹1.83 crore. PFRDA says the eventual outcome depends on market performance, asset allocation and the annuity chosen at retirement.

The two schemes also differ sharply at the withdrawal stage. EPF is designed as a provident savings account linked to employment, and TV9 Hindi says members can withdraw the full amount at retirement, typically at age 58. It also allows partial withdrawals in specified circumstances such as house purchase, children’s education or marriage, and serious illness. NPS, by contrast, is structured as a pension product. At retirement, at least 40 per cent of the corpus must be used to buy an annuity, while up to 60 per cent can be taken as a lump sum. Limited withdrawals are also permitted for select needs, including higher education, marriage and medical emergencies.

Tax treatment is another major dividing line. EPF is generally treated as an exempt-exempt-exempt product, meaning contributions, interest and withdrawals are tax-free, although TV9 Hindi notes that interest on employee contributions above ₹2.5 lakh a year can fall into the tax net. NPS offers a separate tax advantage: contributions qualify for a deduction under Section 80C, with an additional benefit under Section 80CCD(1B), and the tax-free lump sum at retirement is limited to 60 per cent of the corpus. For savers prioritising safety, EPF remains the steadier route; for those willing to accept market risk in exchange for the chance of a larger retirement fund, NPS can be more rewarding, as the comparison pieces from The Economic Times and Moneycontrol also suggest.

Disclaimer: This article is intended to inform and educate, not to recommend or endorse any financial product, investment or strategy. Please consider your own financial circumstances and seek professional advice where appropriate before making financial decisions.