Welspun's record order book boosts visibility amid steady growth, APL Apollo targets higher ROCE

Welspun Corp boasts a record order book and long-term export demand, offering stronger visibility for investors, while APL Apollo focuses on capital efficiency and domestic expansion, with potential for higher returns.

Welspun Corp and APL Apollo Tubes have both delivered solid June-quarter numbers, but they are winning in different ways. According to Trade Brains, Welspun is the stronger play for investors who value visibility, backed by a record order book and an export-heavy business model. APL Apollo, meanwhile, stands out for capital efficiency and its deeper domestic reach, even after a softer quarter for volumes. Moneycontrol’s financial pages show both companies remain closely watched because each combines scale with relatively healthy balance sheets.

On returns, APL Apollo still has the edge. Trade Brains said its return on capital employed was 22.9%, compared with 19.4% for Welspun. That gap matters because ROCE measures how effectively a company turns invested capital into profit. Even so, Welspun management has said it wants to keep annualised ROCE above 20%, and the latest quarter showed it could hold that level even while funding expansion in Saudi Arabia and the United States. APL Apollo has said it wants to lift ROCE back towards 30% and ultimately 40%, which would strengthen its lead if achieved.

The bigger contrast is in visibility. Welspun’s order book stood at about ₹25,750 crore at the end of the quarter, the strongest in its history, according to Trade Brains. The company says that pipeline already gives it coverage into FY28, with potential clarity extending into FY29 as demand builds in the US midstream market and Saudi Arabia. APL Apollo does not rely on a similar contract-led model. Instead, it is guiding for 15% to 20% volume growth in FY27, with a stronger second half expected as new capacity comes on stream at Gorakhpur and Siliguri.

Profit trends also diverged. Welspun reported its highest quarterly EBITDA of ₹756 crore, up 35% from a year earlier, helped by export demand and better pricing in key markets. APL Apollo described its quarter as mixed, with volumes hurt by temporary disruption in the UAE and weaker domestic demand as dealers cut inventories. Even so, it held EBITDA per tonne at more than ₹5,500 and is guiding for more than 20% EBITDA growth for the full year. Both groups remain financially comfortable: Trade Brains said Welspun was in a net cash position of ₹2,336 crore, while APL Apollo held about ₹1,400 crore in cash and continued to run working capital efficiently.

For investors, the choice comes down to what matters more. Welspun offers longer-dated revenue visibility and exposure to overseas infrastructure demand. APL Apollo offers better capital efficiency and a large domestic franchise, but its growth path depends more heavily on execution in the coming quarters. There may not be a clear winner, but the two companies now present very different investment cases.

Disclaimer: This article is intended to inform and educate, not to recommend or endorse any financial product, investment or strategy. Please consider your own financial circumstances and seek professional advice where appropriate before making financial decisions.